Originally Posted by
Nightshade
Are you saying HD-DVD is going to die off? Not sure I follow your post correctly.
Blu Ray I can see dying off rather quickly simply because HD-DVD has had a presence in the market for a year or so now and has affordable players (relativley). Because of that presence the likleyhood that HD players will be affordable to all in the near future is much higher.
Then you have the shelves to look at for discs...I have yet to see a BluRay disc on the shelf, but I can go to a dozen stores and find HD discs with many titles.
Another issue as you pointed out is that Sony has a streak of losing formats beginning with Beta in the late 70s early 80s, Atrac, MD, memory stick and the list goes on.
It is going to be interesting to see how this battle plays out and what companies invest in which format. So far if you look at the backers for each it does look like HD-DVD has a majority backing with movie studios.
i'm saying that blu-ray is most likely going to fail, as dell and others were hurt by those defective laptop batteries that sony gave them (dell and sony, among some others are all partners pushing blu-ray)
it's also a shame because the only media capable of holding archived copies of HD content will be the blu-ray disc, which without broad acceptance will most likely not be the best cantidate for archiving movies due to the $$$ factor
:edit:
this is unless 4+TB starts becoming the norm for HDD storage (which i cannot forsee happening EVER, esp with the constant movement in the solid-state storage)