Machida by second round TKO. Shogun's flashy and go for broke style plays perfectly into Machida's game. Unless he can work a takedown somehow and use his underrated BJJ he's going to have the ref stopping the match by then.
Cain by UD. Rothwell is solid, experienced fighter but he doesn't have takedown defense much less a ground game that'll even stifle Cain. Expect another beating like the one Cain gave to Kongo a few months back.
Hardonk by UD. They'll respect each others kickboxing skill but Hardonk is the one from Vos Gym and a true HW while Barry is a small HW who should be fighting at LHW to begin with.
Bader by UD. His small ball GnP and top control will be too much unless he makes a dumb mistake and gets caught.
Yoshida/Johnson is a toss up. Yoshida has no chin but has the Judo and ground game to give Johnson fits but is a poor game planner. Likewise Johnson hunts for the KO all the time but a mental midget. Yoshida is a great upset bet for all the gamblers on here.