Fedor and CroCop hit harder and still couldn't knock him out; what makes you think Sylvia can? He hits hard but not on the level of the former two and much sloppier at that.
Nogueira's BJJ is equal to or better than Frank Mir's, has solid boxing skills, a good gas tank, a diamond chin and an incredible heart but it's going to come down to if Nogueira has improved his wrestling to the point where he will be able to deal with Sylvia's LnP tactics and if he has it's all over. If he hasn't I can see Sylvia squeaking out an ugly decision victory and I'll never watch UFC again.