Maxima auto...you will beat him. Those things are not all that fast...unless you get the 5spd...then it would be close.
As for the Probe it has the same HP as the GSR but more TQ. It should take you off the line but once in third you should pull and get in front of her. But like Chemicalviper said...Fords suck...and chances are it is in bad shape anyway and would only hurt her in a race.
Where in CT are you?